Irondequoit, New York 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

494
FXUS61 KBUF 030725
AFDBUF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
325 AM EDT Tue Jun 3 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A warming trend continues into the midweek period as high pressure
drifts off the east coast. A cold front will cross the area Thursday
with a few showers and thunderstorms. The front will stall just
south of the area, bringing additional shower and thunderstorm
chances Friday and Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
High pressure will settle along the Mid Atlantic coast, maintaining
fair weather. Ongoing warm advection will send temperatures today
into the lower 80s for lower elevations, with a few mid 80s readings
possible in the typical warm spots of the Genesee Valley.

Elevated smoke from Canadian wildfires will remain over the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A much milder air mass of +16C to +18C will be in place across the
Lower Lakes on Wednesday. It should be the warmest day of the week,
highs found in the 80s to low 90s in spots. The only thing of note
beyond the warmth may be some high level smoke.

A cold front will near the lower Great Lakes Wednesday night but
overall it appears that it will stay dry. Chances for showers
increase Thursday, along with the potential for some thunderstorms
as the cold front slowly crosses the region. As was noted...timing
of the front will play a significant roll whether we see stronger
convection fire up.

The cold front appears it will largely clear the area Thursday
night, then stalls not too far from our region. At this point, there
begins to be a fair amount of uncertainty Friday into the weekend
with regards to a southern stream wave that is advertised to
traverse the stalled front. Guidance suggest the potential for heavy
rainfall along this boundary depending on where the frontal wave end
up tracking over. For now...will continue to keep an eye on it given
the uncertainty.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Saturday will all depend on the track of the frontal wave and its
impact on our area. It does appear that we will see much improved
weather Sunday through much of Monday as high pressure builds into
the Great Lakes region. Another cold front will move through the
Great Lakes later Monday, and may bring a few showers to the eastern
Great Lakes later in the day. It will be a little cooler and less
humid behind the front, but highs will likely still be in the 70s,
near average for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR flight conditions will persist through the issuance period. High
level smoke expected to linger across the region. South/southwest
winds at 10 knots or less.

LLWS possible around 2k feet tonight as a 35-40 kt southwesterly low
level jet develops with a light southerly surface wind.

Outlook...

Wednesday...VFR.

Thursday...VFR/MVFR with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms.

Friday...VFR/MVFR with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.

Saturday...MVFR with showers likely.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure over the Ohio Valley will gradually drift to the Mid
Atlantic coast today, then just offshore of the east coast by
Wednesday. Light winds today will increase Wednesday as the pressure
gradient increases behind the departing high. This will bring
moderate southwest winds, strongest on the west end of Lake Ontario.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...TMA
MARINE...Hitchcock/TMA